Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.034618 0.040318 0.046589 0.053991 0.062478 0.071895 0.083126
2025-08-31 0.025449 0.032707 0.041433 0.052656 0.066666 0.083531 0.105323
2025-09-07 0.020882 0.029223 0.040044 0.055016 0.075086 0.100938 0.136616
2025-09-14 0.016843 0.025451 0.037405 0.055051 0.080233 0.114633 0.164888
2025-09-21 0.013470 0.021840 0.034209 0.053569 0.082793 0.124858 0.189473
2025-09-28 0.011154 0.019287 0.032003 0.052986 0.086288 0.136504 0.217128
2025-10-05 0.010087 0.018464 0.032228 0.056012 0.095443 0.157326 0.260524
2025-10-12 0.009023 0.017429 0.031901 0.058011 0.103082 0.176481 0.303221
2025-10-19 0.007586 0.015464 0.029673 0.056427 0.104486 0.185634 0.330594
2025-10-26 0.006558 0.014061 0.028197 0.055891 0.107504 0.197599 0.363624
2025-11-02 0.005562 0.012535 0.026247 0.054175 0.108118 0.205357 0.389991
2025-11-09 0.004775 0.011290 0.024636 0.052843 0.109201 0.213920 0.418421
2025-11-16 0.004221 0.010459 0.023758 0.052888 0.113024 0.228058 0.458817
2025-11-23 0.003623 0.009420 0.022289 0.051521 0.113889 0.236730 0.489863
2025-11-30 0.003391 0.009193 0.022534 0.053804 0.122432 0.261023 0.553224
2025-12-07 0.003024 0.008568 0.021794 0.053823 0.126214 0.276228 0.600074
2025-12-14 0.002615 0.007753 0.020485 0.052365 0.126610 0.284555 0.633767
2025-12-21 0.002313 0.007160 0.019611 0.051790 0.128870 0.296924 0.676869
2025-12-28 0.002227 0.007149 0.020179 0.054751 0.139521 0.328128 0.762452
2026-01-04 0.002097 0.006986 0.020333 0.056707 0.148025 0.355409 0.841892
2026-01-11 0.001830 0.006361 0.019170 0.055155 0.147950 0.363611 0.880156
2026-01-18 0.001636 0.005921 0.018441 0.054631 0.150314 0.377528 0.932367
2026-01-25 0.001425 0.005381 0.017341 0.052950 0.149564 0.384131 0.968415